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Anthropogenic Forcing has Increased the Risk of Longer-Traveling and Slower-Moving Large Contiguous Heatwaves

Summary/Abstract

Heatwaves are consecutive hot days with devastating impacts on human health and the environment. These events may evolve across both space and time, and the patterns through which they move, spread, and change have not been fully understood.

In this peer-reviewed study, the authors track connected heatwaves in both reanalysis datasets and model simulations, and examine their moving patterns (i.e., moving distance, speed, and direction) in different continents and periods. Substantial changes in contiguous heatwaves have been identified from 1979 to 2020, with longer persistence, longer traveling distance, and slower propagation. These changes have been amplified since 1997, probably due to the weakening of eddy kinetic energy, zonal wind, and anthropogenic forcing. The study’s results suggest that longer-lived, longer-traveling, and slower-moving contiguous heatwaves will cause more devastating impacts on human health and the environment in the future if greenhouse gas emissions keep rising and no effective measures are taken immediately. This study’s findings provide important implications for the adaption and mitigation of globally connected extreme heatwaves.

Ming Luo et al. ,Anthropogenic forcing has increased the risk of longer-traveling and slower-moving large contiguous heatwaves.Sci. Adv.10,eadl1598(2024).DOI:10.1126/sciadv.adl1598

View Resource
March 2024
Ming Luo, Sijia Wu, Gabriel Ngar-Cheung Lau, Tao Pei, Zhen Liu, Xiaoyu Wang, Guicai Ning, Ting On Chan, Yuanjian Yang, Wei Zhang
Science Advances
Peer-reviewed Study
Global
Extreme Event Attribution
Extreme Event Attribution → Extreme Heat

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