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Attribution of the Heavy Rainfall Events Leading to Severe Flooding in Western Europe during July 2021

Summary/Abstract

The document presents a thorough examination of the meteorological and hydrological conditions leading to the 2021 floods, utilizing data from multiple sources and climate models. It highlights the increased frequency and intensity of such events under current climate conditions, estimating a significant rise in the likelihood of extreme rainfall due to human-induced climate changes. The report also discusses the potential for these trends to continue worsening with ongoing global warming, suggesting urgent need for adaptation strategies in flood-prone regions.

Jordis S. Tradowsky et al. "Attribution of the Heavy Rainfall Events Leading to Severe Flooding in Western Europe during July 2021." Climatic Change, 2023. DOI: 10.1007/s10584- 023-03502-7

View Resource
June 2023
Jordis S. Tradowsky, Sjoukje Y. Philip, Frank Kreienkamp, Sarah F. Kew, Philip Lorenz, Julie Arrighi, Thomas Bettmann, Steven Caluwaerts, Steven C. Chan, Lesley De Cruz, Hylke de Vries, Norbert Demuth, Andrew Ferrone, Erich M. Fischer, Hayley J. Fowler, Klaus Goergen, Dorothy Heinrich, Yvonne Henrichs, Frank Kaspar, Geert Lenderink, Enno Nilson, Friederike E. L. Otto, Francesco Ragone, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Roop K. Singh, Amalie Skålevåg, Piet Termonia, Lisa Thalheimer, Maarten van Aalst, Joris Van den Bergh, Hans Van de Vyver, Stéphane Vannitsem, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Bert Van Schaeybroeck, Robert Vautard, Demi Vonk, Niko Wanders
Springer Nature, published in Climatic Change
Peer-reviewed Study
Belgium, Europe, Germany, Luxembourg
Extreme Event Attribution
Extreme Event Attribution → Extreme Rainfall

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