• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to footer

Climate Attribution

  • Home
  • Search
    • Climate Change Attribution
    • Extreme Event Attribution
    • Impact Attribution
    • Source Attribution
    • Court Attribution
  • About
    • Contact
    • Sitemap
  • Related Resources
    • Conference – January 9-10, 2025
  • Subscribe

Concurrent 2018 Hot Extremes Across Northern Hemisphere Due to Human‐Induced Climate Change

Summary/Abstract

Extremely high temperatures pose an immediate threat to humans and ecosystems. In recent years, many regions on land and in the ocean experienced heat waves with devastating impacts that would have been highly unlikely without human‐induced climate change. Impacts are particularly severe when heat waves occur in regions with high exposure of people or crops. The recent 2018 spring‐to‐summer season was characterized by several major heat and dry extremes. On daily average between May and July 2018 about 22% of the populated and agricultural areas north of 30° latitude experienced concurrent hot temperature extremes. Events of this type were unprecedented prior to 2010, while similar conditions were experienced in the 2010 and 2012 boreal summers. Earth System Model simulations of present‐day climate, that is, at around +1 °C global warming, also display an increase of concurrent heat extremes. Based on Earth System Model simulations, we show that it is virtually certain (using Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change calibrated uncertainty language) that the 2018 north hemispheric concurrent heat events would not have occurred without human‐induced climate change. Our results further reveal that the average high‐exposure area projected to experience concurrent warm and hot spells in the Northern Hemisphere increases by about 16% per additional +1 °C of global warming. A strong reduction in fossil fuel emissions is paramount to reduce the risks of unprecedented global‐scale heat wave impacts.

Vogel, M. M., Zscheischler, J., Wartenburger, R., Dee, D., & Seneviratne, S. I. (2019). Concurrent 2018 hot extremes across Northern Hemisphere due to human‐induced climate change. Earth's Future, 7, 692– 703. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019EF001189

View Resource
June 2019
M. M. Vogel, J. Zscheischler, R. Wartenburger, D. Dee, S. I. Seneviratne
AGU
Peer-reviewed Study
Extreme Event Attribution → Extreme Heat
Extreme Event Attribution → Drought
Impact Attribution → Public Health
Impact Attribution → Agriculture
Impact Attribution → Economics and Development

Footer

This website provides educational information. It does not, nor is it intended to, provide legal advice. No attorney-client relationship is established by use of this site. Consult with an attorney for any needed legal advice. There is no warranty of accuracy, adequacy or comprehensiveness. Those who use information from this website do so at their own risk.

© 2026 Sabin Center for Climate Change Law
Made with by Satellite Jones