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Detection and Attribution of Climate Extremes in the Observed Record

Summary/Abstract

We present an overview of practices and challenges related to the detection and attribution of observed changes in climate extremes. Detection is the identification of a statistically significant change in the extreme values of a climate variable over some period of time. Issues in detection discussed include data quality, coverage, and completeness. Attribution takes that detection of a change and uses climate model simulations to evaluate whether a cause can be assigned to that change. Additionally, we discuss a newer field of attribution, event attribution, where individual extreme events are analyzed for the express purpose of assigning some measure of whether that event was directly influenced by anthropogenic forcing of the climate system.

David R. Easterling et al., Detection and Attribution of Climate Extremes in the Observed Record, 11 WEATHER CLIMATE EXTREMES 17 (2016).

Link to Full Article
January 2016
David R. Easterling, Kenneth E. Kunkel, Michael F. Wehner, Liqiang Sun
Science Direct
Peer-reviewed Study
Global
Extreme Event Attribution
Extreme Event Attribution → Extreme Heat
Extreme Event Attribution → Extreme Rainfall
Impact Attribution

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