• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to footer

Climate Attribution

  • Home
  • Search
    • Climate Change Attribution
    • Extreme Event Attribution
    • Impact Attribution
    • Source Attribution
    • Court Attribution
  • About
    • Contact
    • Sitemap
  • Related Resources
    • Conference – January 9-10, 2025
  • Subscribe

Decreasing fire season precipitation increased recent western U.S. forest wildfire activity

Summary/Abstract

Anthropogenic climate change has been shown to amplify wildfire risk through increasing temperatures and decreased snowpack. This study shows the important role of precipitation changes in increasing the intensity and frequency of wildfires in the western United States. Using climate modeling taking into account precipitation data from 1979 to 2015, the study shows that precipitation declines are the climate impact most significantly correlated with wildfire area burned in the western United States. Declines in summer precipitation across 31-45% of the forested areas in the western United States are strongly correlated with burned area variations. The resulting wildfires cause property damage, particulate air pollution, destruction of habitat, and threat to human life. Understanding the mechanisms that drive wildfires can help policymakers prevent and predict their spread.

Holden, Zachary A., et al. “Decreasing Fire Season Precipitation Increased Recent Western US Forest Wildfire Activity.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 115, no. 36, 20 Aug. 2018, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1802316115.

View Resource
August 2023
Zachary Holden, Alan Swanson, Charles Luce, W. Jolly, Marco Maneta, Jared Oyler, Dyer Warren, Russell Parsons, and David Affleck
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Peer-reviewed Study
United States, Western United States
Climate Change Attribution → Atmosphere
Climate Change Attribution → Hydrologic Cycle
Extreme Event Attribution → Cross-cutting Research
Impact Attribution
Impact Attribution → Wildfires
Impact Attribution → Air Pollution
Impact Attribution → Economics and Development

Footer

This website provides educational information. It does not, nor is it intended to, provide legal advice. No attorney-client relationship is established by use of this site. Consult with an attorney for any needed legal advice. There is no warranty of accuracy, adequacy or comprehensiveness. Those who use information from this website do so at their own risk.

© 2026 Sabin Center for Climate Change Law
Made with by Satellite Jones