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Limiting global warming to 1.5º C will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change

Summary/Abstract

The Paris Agreement is an international climate treaty which aims to limit anthropogenic warming to 2º C above pre-industrial levels, with an aspirational goal of 1.5º C. With these goals in mind, this study attempts to understand the difference in impacts under these two scenarios, especially the extent to which their impacts will disproportionately affect developing and least developed countries. The study examines four extreme climate impacts: extreme hot days, heavy rainfall, high stream flow, and labor capacity reduction related to heat stress. The study finds that limiting warming to 1.5º C lowers the risk of all four impacts. The most severe impacts are also found to correlate to regions with small emissions per capita (low responsibility for climate change), low income per capita (low capability to adapt), and high vulnerability. The results of the study therefore indicate that reducing the magnitude of anthropogenic warming not only mitigates harmful impacts but also reduces the inequality of their effects on vulnerable communities.

Shiogama, Hideo, et al. “Limiting Global Warming to 1.5 °C Will Lower Increases in Inequalities of Four Hazard Indicators of Climate Change.” Environmental Research Letters, vol. 14, no. 12, 2019, p. 124022, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab5256.

View Resource
November 2019
Hideo Shiogama, Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Daisuke Murakami, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Katsumasa Tanaka, Seita Emori, Izumi Kubota, Manabu Abe, Yukiko Imada, Masahiro Watanabe, Daniel Mitchell, Nathalie Schaller, Jana Sillmann, Erich Fischer, John Scinocca, Ingo Bethke, Ludwig Lierhammer, Jun'ya Takakura, Tim Trautmann, Petra Döll, Sebastian Ostberg, Hannes Schmeid, Fahad Saeed, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Environmental Research Letters
Peer-reviewed Study
Global
Climate Change Attribution → Cross-cutting Research
Climate Change Attribution → Atmosphere
Climate Change Attribution → Temperature
Climate Change Attribution → Hydrologic Cycle
Extreme Event Attribution → Extreme Heat
Extreme Event Attribution → Drought
Extreme Event Attribution → Extreme Cold
Extreme Event Attribution → Extreme Rainfall
Extreme Event Attribution → Storms
Impact Attribution
Impact Attribution → Public Health
Impact Attribution → Economics and Development
Source Attribution → National Emissions

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